04 Oct, 2009

Grid Stuff

Posted by jsalimando 00:14 | Permalink Permalink | Comments comments (4) | Trackback Trackbacks (0) | Reports + Summaries
IIt's not online anywhere, but a transcript of John Colson (chairman/CEO) of Quanta Services -- speaking 9/15 at a JP Morgan conference -- includes some interesting data on the electrical grid. Building it out and maintaining it is what Quanta does (or one of the things it does). I'm retyping here, so forgive errors:

"The North American Electric Reliablity CounciL (NAERC) reported that 2008 saw a 14% increase in transmission mileage over the prior year. However, more transmission is needed to maintain both power system reliability and to integrated renewable generation sources."

EleBlog note: The first time I read that, I thought it said that the amount of miles on the national grid had increased 14% in 2008. That's NOT what it says! It says the amount of miles built in 2008 was 114% of the number of miles built in 2007.

"The U.S. utility industry will have to invest between $1.5 trillion adn $2T between 2010 and 2030 to main current levels of relability . . . according to a recent report . . . [including] $80B for the nation's transmission and distribution systems . . . [and] $85B for advanced metering infrastructure and energy efficiency demand response programs.

EleBlog note: It's not clear from John's words here whether that $2 trillion (or $1.5 trillion) includes major expenses for installation of The Smart Grid and its components, or not. I looked for the thing -- it's a Brattle Group report that dates to 11/08 (see news item here). Key paragraph from a news item on the BG report -- NOTE: This is NOT from the Colson/Quanta presentation!!!

In the base case scenario, which does not account for new climate policies, the total investment needs are projected to reach US $1.5 trillion. Implementation of a federal carbon policy would increase the capital cost and change the mix of new generation capacity. A model of one scenario with carbon controls would require an increase in total capital spending to $2 trillion.

I tried to find the report on the Brattle website, but all I could find (for free) is this two-page 11/08 release (PDF). However, following thru on a link there, it looks as if one can download the full report -- at no charge -- here.

One more thing from Colson's presentation:

"Between 2000 and 2006, $37.8B of transmnission CapEx spending occurred, and according to an EEI survey of its members, another $37B is expected . . . from 2007 to 2010.

And while rebuilding the transmission grid, utilities must not only make up for the lack of past spending on the grid and lack of maintenance, but also build for future increases in demand.

Colson's remarks come in the context of him recommending investments in his company's stock. I'm not going to tackle that (although John Colson is one of the most honorable people I've met in 33 years of doing business-to-business journalism!!!). But clearly, the nation needs to make major investments in the grid . . . for what John is talking about above (rebuilding . . . lack of past spending . . . lack of maintenance . . . future increases in demand) but for the Smart Grid -- and also for the Extra High Voltage lines that Secretary Chu spoke about at GridWeek.

Wow!

Note that you can listen to Colson's presentation from the JPM conference at the Quanta site.

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