16 Aug, 2010
Big, Cheap Batteries - NEEDED
The sodium sulfur battery, Black observed, is likely both simple and inexpensive. The key, he said, "is storing the most kilowatt-hours per dollar that you possibly can. You need big cheap batteries."
"My doubts," he added, "are scale-related. I am not sure any battery technology right now can be used for grid-scale energy storage. There is a huge expense related to that."
Frank Novachek, Xcel Energy's Director of Corporate Planning and the
manager of the wind-to-battery storage project, explained how the
preliminary results of the field test that began in October 2008
unequivocally prove the technical capability of the batteries to store wind.
They also confirm Black's doubts.
"We don't know what the right battery price is," Novachek said about the use of battery storage for shifting wind energy from off-peak availability (when electricity is least expensive) to peak demand availability (when electricity is most expensive). "But we do know it's too high for looking at the time-shifting aspects alone."
Who be "Black?" -- Forbes Black, described by GTM as "a battery technology and energy storage systems engineer."
12 Aug, 2010
ENERGY Linx
If the Grid didn't exist, would we need to invent it? (Infrastructurist.com)
U.S. falls behind (China) on clean energy (Business Week, commentary)
AND ON EVs --
Presentation (positive!) on electric vehicles -- note that I was in on this phone conference, but did not ask a question. Note also that there is an Eaton exec as one of the 4 presenters.
06 Aug, 2010
BIG Solar Questions
What caught my eye in there was something more, specifically this assertion:
So the question remains: why do installers and developers continue to purchase modules from high-cost producers (thus enabling the continuation of status quo business models) when there is an abundance of less expensive options on the market? And why do we keep hearing about the global market being in a state of module undersupply right now when available supply still exceeds demand?
The answer lies in
the much-discussed but seldom explicated notion of bankability as it
applies to module vendors. In a post-Lehman world, lenders have become
extremely selective about which projects they choose to finance; the
projects that receive capital are those with the lowest perceived risk
profiles.
Since the cost of debt is fixed, there is little upside for a
bank if cheaper (and thus higher-return-enabling) modules are used, as
long as the project clears its hurdle rate. This means only
established firms with proven technologies and long-term product
performance (i.e., module yields) will make the cut from the abundance
of available options.
It comes down to this: each lender has a relatively small, carefully chosen list of module vendors it is willing to finance (perhaps 100 in Europe, and as few as 10 in the U.S.). Unsurprisingly, almost every European crystalline silicon-based producer is on the list. Very few Asian and thin film firms currently are.
06 Aug, 2010
Energy Storage: Prediction
-- and ends with this prediction (I've bold-faced the key words):
31 Jul, 2010
Power Conditioning Glossary
But not everyone who comes here is.
21 Jul, 2010
BIM Advantages
I didn't hear his presentation. But one of the slides claims:
PROJECTS DESIGNED IN BIM -- change order rate = 2.3%
PROJECTS NOT DESIGNED IN BIM -- change order rate = 8.0%
. . . it's easy to see why project owners want to use building information modeling, isn't it?
- - - -
Note: FREE DOWNLOAD -- 82p PDF -- SDCCD "BIM Standards for Architects, Engineers & Contractors"
20 Jul, 2010
Stimulus + Buildings
Of that, $8.3B has been mailed in the form of a check ("outlays") . . . the rest is sitting there.
19 Jul, 2010
TSG White Paper
19 Jul, 2010
IRS Audit - Worker Classification
New IRS Audit Likely to Snare Some Contractors
16 Jun, 2010
Newsletters, Electrical + Lighting
http://ted-sub.halldata.com/site/TED000043ELland/init.do
Mike Holt's Newsletters
http://www.mikeholt.com/newslettersCategories.php
The Postings of Jim Brodrick, DoE lighting program manager
(on LEDs)
http://www1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/ssl/postings.html
UL's newsletters -- one of these (new, it seems) is on lighting
http://www.ul.com/global/eng/pages/corporate/aboutul/publications/newsletters/
Craig DiLouie's LightNowBlog -- newsletter
http://www.lightnowblog.com/subscribe-to-lightnow-newsletter/
27 May, 2010
Motor Basics
23 May, 2010
One Analysis Of New EVs
The gist: Today's "modern" electric vehicle has about a 100-mile range, max -- which isn't much different from, well, 100 years ago.
16 May, 2010
Higher Prices?
That's not a big move, now is it? The article is about the official US government outlook for prices (from the DoE's EIA).
The EleBlog remains convinced that higher electricity prices -- much higher -- would be good for everyone in the U.S. Like maybe a double in a couple of years.
09 May, 2010
Nissan's Leaf - Review by IEEE
A big pothole, though, may lie ahead for Nissan. It doesn’t matter how good the batteries are if you can’t easily recharge them. As with other electric cars, the biggest challenge for the Leaf is the charging infrastructure. ”If it’s not easy for customers, it’s not going to work,” acknowledges Nissan Canada’s marketing director, Mark McDade.
So the company is working hard to make it easy. Nissan recently announced that if you buy a Leaf, it will have a contractor install a charging station in your garage before the car arrives. With a 220-volt charger, you can replenish a fully depleted battery in 8 hours. Nissan is also prodding governments and electric utilities to deploy public charging stations, which could charge the battery up to 80 percent in just under 30 minutes to support long-distance driving.
13 Apr, 2010
Things U Don't Know: MEGAWATT
There are all kinds of answers to this question, but the CEO of Utilipoint bylined a piece to get at the question. Here's just a start on his answer:
The answer starts with understanding the basic definition of energy terms. Watts (W) are the yardstick for measuring power. A one hundred watt light bulb, for example, is rated to consume one hundred watts of power when turned on. If such a light bulb were on for four hours it would consume a total of 400 watt-hours (Wh) of energy. Watts, therefore, measure instantaneous power while watt-hours measure the total amount of energy consumed over a period of time.
A megawatt (MW) is one million watts and a kilowatt (kW) is one thousand
watts. Both terms are commonly used in the power business when
describing generation or load consumption. For instance, a 100 MW rated
wind farm is capable of producing 100 MW during peak winds, but will
produce much less than its rated amount when winds are light. As a
result of these varying wind speeds, over the course of a year a wind
farm may only average 30 MW of power production. Similarly, a 1,000 MW
coal plant may average 750 MW of production over the course of a year
because the plant will shut down for maintenance from time-to-time and
the plant operates at less than its rated capability when other power
plants can produce power less expensively.
And here's a table included with the column:
Census Division |
Number of |
Average Monthly |
|
State |
Consumers |
Consumption (kWh) |
|
New England |
5,822,935 |
618 |
|
Middle Atlantic |
15,045,495 |
641 |
|
East North Central |
18,705,754 |
763 |
|
West North Central |
8,287,837 |
903 |
|
South Atlantic |
22,473,797 |
1,088 |
|
East South Central |
7,356,975 |
1,193 |
|
West South Central |
12,883,403 |
1,151 |
|
Mountain |
7,368,280 |
847 |
|
West Coast |
15,763,570 |
668 |
|
Hawaii & Alaska |
609,661 |
642 |
|
U.S. Total |
114,317,707 |
877 |
13 Mar, 2010
Green Tips
I like the idea of reusing stuff, recycling things, and not throwing things away. In case you don't click the link above, here they are:
- Pick up pet hair
- End car odors
- Lift burned-on casserole residue
- Freshen drawers
- Wipe soap scum from shower door
- Repel dust from electrical appliances
- Do away with doggy odor
- Counteract laundry hamper or wastebasket odors
- Tame locker-room and sneaker smells
- Prevent musty odors in suitcases
- Buff chrome to a brilliant shine
- Use as a safe mosquito repellent
- Use an inconspicuous air freshener
- Do away with static cling
- Keep dust off blinds
- Renew grubby stuffed toys
- Substitute a dryer sheet for a tack cloth
- Consolidate sheets and make them smell pretty
- Abolish tangled sewing thread
02 Feb, 2010
Accounting Matters
Yet this article on the HousingZone.com site -- How to use percentage-of-completion accounting -- is pretty damn important.
23 Jan, 2010
Smaller, More-Efficient Homes
Here's the 2010 release.
A slice:
05 Jan, 2010
Young Folks Living At Home
Her piece referred to a survey by "Working America" of workers age 18 to 34. I went looking for the survey document, and found it (48-page PDF).
- - - - -
What interested me was her single-line note that "one in three still lives at home with parents." I was hoping to find a break-out (how many 18 year olds still live home, how many 30-year-olds). That wasn't there.
What was (on page 15):
41% of those who did not graduate from college still do.
52% of those who make less than $30,000/year still do.
I know those ages 18-34 are not from my generation (I'm 56). But I still find it hard to envision a situation where there are SEVERAL people of an adult age -- some in their 60s, some in their 20s and even 30s -- living together. It would not have worked for me with my parents.
Note that this is NOT about young people taking their parents in when they are older (which is a different thing). This is about still living, in ages 18-19-20 and even 30-31-32-33, in the same situation -- and perhaps, even, the same exact room -- in which one was raised as a child.
For me, that's a Wow!
04 Dec, 2009
Energy Matters NL
29 Nov, 2009
Retainage - Best Practices
AGC's SCC just issued a 2-page PDF -- Best Practices Guidance for Retainage.
The major points:
1. Parties can begin to raise questions about retainage as they prepare their bids and proposals.
2. Sub-tier parties should read and understand all documents that collectively comprise the agreement between the owner and prime contractor, including the general conditions of that agreement.
3. Contracting parties may negotiate contractual terms and conditions. Each party should make an independent determination of the terms and conditions that it considers acceptable, and identifying, negotiating, and/or accepting the following are among the terms and conditions subject to each firm's independent business judgement.
22 Nov, 2009
Moving People - in 40 Years
Going by what I've previously learned, there will be 9 billion people on Planet Earth by 2050. 150M people = 1.66% of the population at that time.
Needing to move? This sound like World War III is coming.
THIS IS NOT A SERMON. I'm not certain that global warming is human-caused (what if it is something that is caused by something humans can't control?). And I'm growing in certainty that, if it is human-caused, human beings aren't capable of getting their collective act together to DO something about it.
So where does that leave us? With the prospect of 150 million people moving before the year 2050, maybe. Or maybe a damn big war.
THIS IS, to repeat, NOT A SERMON. The year 2050 will mark the 97th anniversary of the my birth (I don't expect to be here to celebrate a birthday).
Anyone significantly younger might consider what they care to do to prepare for this potential disaster
11 Nov, 2009
Lighting Poles Fall Down
Consider a 100-foot pole loaded with athletic lights: Using AASHTO standards, the total load could be no greater than two-thirds of the pole’s rated strength. The safety cushion also protects against variations in materials and workmanship. Just as important, the additional strength reduces fatigue during times of normal stress, which weaken the poles’ structural integrity over time.
Why did Whitco use the lesser specs? One possible answer, which has been suggested by some including the company’s former owner, was to save money and increase profits. Reducing the metal in the poles and their base plates means less money spent on materials.
04 Oct, 2009
Top 25 Smart Grid Utilities
04 Oct, 2009
Grid Stuff
EleBlog note: The first time I read that, I thought it said that the amount of miles on the national grid had increased 14% in 2008. That's NOT what it says! It says the amount of miles built in 2008 was 114% of the number of miles built in 2007.
EleBlog note: It's not clear from John's words here whether that $2 trillion (or $1.5 trillion) includes major expenses for installation of The Smart Grid and its components, or not. I looked for the thing -- it's a Brattle Group report that dates to 11/08 (see news item here). Key paragraph from a news item on the BG report -- NOTE: This is NOT from the Colson/Quanta presentation!!!
One more thing from Colson's presentation:
And while rebuilding the transmission grid, utilities must not only make up for the lack of past spending on the grid and lack of maintenance, but also build for future increases in demand.
Colson's remarks come in the context of him recommending investments in his company's stock. I'm not going to tackle that (although John Colson is one of the most honorable people I've met in 33 years of doing business-to-business journalism!!!). But clearly, the nation needs to make major investments in the grid . . . for what John is talking about above (rebuilding . . . lack of past spending . . . lack of maintenance . . . future increases in demand) but for the Smart Grid -- and also for the Extra High Voltage lines that Secretary Chu spoke about at GridWeek.
Wow!
Note that you can listen to Colson's presentation from the JPM conference at the Quanta site.
(More)
02 Oct, 2009
Healthcare Design & Construction
In June, he talked about "healthcare design + construction: Trends, innovations, opportunities." POSTED HERE, it weighs in at 5,850 words. I'm not kidding.
In his initial remarks, after outlining 10 items "on the minds" of hospital CEOs, Cassidy goes on to:
So, that’s the “milieu” of today’s hospital. You’re working with CEOs, hospital executives, and health systems boards that have an overwhelming list of EXCRUCIATINGLY COMPLEX PROBLEMS AND PRIORITIES.
Have you noticed that I’ve said VIRTUALLY NOTHING about “buildings”?
You – hospital designers and your Building Teams – are way down on the CEO totem pole of priorities.
• Hospital CEOs may do 1 major project per career move (every 5-10 yr)
„« May be their first and only building project
„« Each one poses a new set of problems
„« Always a new learning experience, every single time.
• Remember, too, that they are not in the “building business” – they’re in the HEALTHCARE business.
• Thus, your project actually represents A THREAT to them, a potential
disaster – cost overruns, delays, design or construction shortcomings,
worker or visitor injury, etc.
I don't challenge these assumptions.
However, there is a place for a long piece that makes someone think -- in depth, with perspective -- on a particular topic. If healthcare construction is important to you, you're going to want to click on that link above and read Cassidy's remarks. Posting stuff like this is a fine example of how the Web can supplement a print publication, instead of supplanting it.
30 Jul, 2009
AARP & Electrical Meters
22 Jul, 2009
Electrical Construction & Smart Grid
“The Obama administration has made the smart grid a high priority, and we have the technology to make it a reality,” Johnston said. “But the technology requires a new level of coordination between systems on both the customer and utility ends of the service point.”
Functionally, “service point” refers to “the junction where a utility’s wiring ends and a customer’s wiring begins,” Johnston said. In a smart grid, not only will a customer’s power usage be recorded, but that information will be communicated back to the power generation and transmission facilities in real time. This data will then allow the utility to “shed load” when demand for power is low and step it up when demand increases.
“It’s a true demand response system,” Johnston said. “The good news is that the highway is already built – meaning we have a linked system of power generation, transmission, and distribution. With the smart grid, we’re going to be adding instrumentation such as sensors, relays and other technologies to communicate what’s going on and automatically modify what’s going out based on that information.”
29 Jun, 2009
AIA Presentations
The Fully Automated Home
Lighting Controls: Project Integration Solutions
The first two are 13 pages each; the last is 5.
The 2nd is from CEDIA; the 3rd is from Lutron.
15 Jun, 2009
A Smart Grid Vision
Today's grid has no communication between the consumer and consuming device and producing devices, other than the flip of a switch. You flip the switch, the electrons always have to be there, the generating machines always have to be ready. It's very inefficient and wasteful. For example, you have to install a large amount of excess capacity that is just waiting for the peak of the summer when, for a few hundred hours of the year's 8,760, all the air conditioners are on at the same time and people also start switching on TVs when they come home. This is a dumb grid. It's a wasteful grid.
Instead of that, for instance, we could have a
machine that makes ice when the wind blows. You have wind turbines, the
wind blows at night, you need air conditioning in the daytime. You make
ice when the wind blows and you get your air conditioning from the
coldness stored in the ice.
And this machine is now commercially available. Companies are willing to work with utilities. This is a way in which you could essentially eliminate the peak load in the summers and shift it to the times when renewable energy is available.
But to do it, you need the air conditioning and ice making machines to be able to talk to the meteorological tower near the wind turbine. That takes a smart meter. It takes a control point at the user's end and it takes a control point at the generating end and the two need to be connected. That is the promise of a smart grid - software, electronics, the Internet.
Once you have a smart grid, you're in a different universe than the one with 1,000 megawatt machines that are always waiting on you hand and foot.
13 Jun, 2009
Solar's Electrical Problem -- ???
28 Apr, 2009
'Slightly Down' Is The New Up
13 Apr, 2009
Green Jobs
The a House Subcommittee recently (3/31) held hearings on "Green Jobs and Their Role in Our Economy." It's a sub of the Education & Labor Committee which, it turns out, posted the testimony and a video.
SO you can watch or read and figure out what everyone is talking about (and whether or not it is a bunch of baloney.
I actually did read one set of prepared remarks, from Kathy Krepcio of the Heldrich Center for Workforce Development. Here's a paragraph that stuck out in my quick review:
These green job workers will include construction workers, cost estimators, financial analysts, auditors, computer technicians, accountants, manufacturing workers, truck drivers, salespersons, scientists, engineers, and many others — as long as their jobs have something to do with energy conservation or increasing the supply of renewable or clean energy sources.
I'm sorry to be contrary, but I'm not sure how these jobs are "green" or how they are "new," or what relevance they have to anything in particular. I'll keep reading.
11 Apr, 2009
Oil's Future
“Investment decisions are rooted in expectations about future value; and while long-term oil price expectations are critical, so are upstream development costs,” added Jackson. “The oil price needed to justify investment will decline as the cost base falls, but this readjustment may take time to unfold, and lower costs will not necessarily equate with increasing activity levels.”
The potential reduction in capacity represents a potentially powerful and long-lasting aftershock following the oil price collapse that began in 2008. Using proprietary databases from CERA and IHS, the report analyzes how global oil supply could be reshaped by lower oil prices and the credit crisis.
25 Mar, 2009
Technologies To Watch
Ingredients for the Kitchen of Tomorrow -- power, connectivity, control
Displays: A look at the next wave of Innovation
Localization of the Internet
The Contextual Web
25 Mar, 2009
Efficient Real Estate Op
In leafing through a presentation on the Public Buildings Service (a unit of the General Services Administration), one slide notes that the GSA had 40,000+ employees in the 1970s, and has 12,500 employees now. Over that time, the "portfolio" of federally owned buildings (and space leased by federal agencies) has only increased.
Today, the PBS is responsible for 8,500 buildings, more or less, with a gross space under roof of about 347 million sq. ft. These buildings are located in 2,100 U.S. communities; they house 1 million federal workers who labor for 60 agencies. The PBS estimates that it would take $42.7 billion to replace the buildings under its care.
Perhaps a surprise: A pie chart shows the Top 10 Agencies with space under roof. According to this, 17% of the space houses Justice Department operations (of course, GSA has nothing to do with the Defense Department, which has its own real estate/construction operations).
Spending: GSA/PBS requested $722 million for repairs and alterations in fiscal 2008, with another $531 million for construction & acquisition of buildings.
If you're a contractor looking to do biz with GSA/PBS, go to www.fedbizopps.gov.
12 Mar, 2009
Daylight Savings Time
However, the Department of Energy says otherwise -- at least when it comes to energy:
A DOE report released last year found that U.S. electricity use was decreased by 0.5% for each day of the extended Daylight Saving Time, resulting in a savings of 0.03% for the year as a whole. The savings are small in percentage terms, but in absolute terms, they added up to 1.3 billion kilowatt-hours, enough to power about 122,000 average U.S. homes for a year.
The DOE report did find small increases in electricity use in the early morning hours, but those increases were more than cancelled out by the energy savings in the evening. The shift was also found to have no effect on traffic volume and gasoline consumption.
Here's the PDF of the DoE report. I'll have to read it and see if anyone else has analyzed this idiotic concept to find actual real-world "results."
18 Feb, 2009
Shortage Of Energy Professionals
16 Feb, 2009
Web Evaluation: Efficient Houses
13 Feb, 2009
Smart Grid Stuff
Part 2 -- I did a really good job on this piece. There are links to places to find a lot more info, 2 graphics, and a really neat sentence (which I DID NOT create). The quote is that the national grid (the transmission-and-distribution system):
Part 3 -- A bit more opinionated. I've followed The Smart Grid for two years. It seems that everything that ails our national electrical system can be solved (according to various proponents) by the Smart Grid. I don't think so!
Everything you need to know about The Smart Grid IS NOT HERE. There are 4,500 words all told, or thereabouts, in the three pieces. But if you trouble to wade through all three (and follow some of the links in Part 2) . . . you'll come out with an introduction to the subject, a basic understanding of what folks are talking about, and a spin (from me) on what's actually going on.
08 Feb, 2009
Contractor Success Profiles
There are five different Contractor Success Profiles, FMI says:
2. Generalist – balance all six success factors (improving people and their lives, profit and wealth, sense of presence and reputation, survival and sustainability, progress on mission and preparation for the future, project execution)
3. Tactician – project and process success
4. Bottom-liner – measured by financial results
5. Freewheeler – appropriate responses to changing opportunities, times or market situations
15 Jan, 2009
EH Expo Review
25 Nov, 2008
Crippling Power Outages?
22 Nov, 2008
Automation Fair Stuff
ControlGlobal.com offered "live" coverage from the event. It's stuff available.
Rockwell emitted a release on the thing.
The press room on the Automation Fair site offers "stuff," including a downloadable video.
20 Nov, 2008
Wind Status Report

20 Nov, 2008
China & Green Energy
The article, dated 8/1, claimed that China "is poised to lead world production of solar cells, wind power turbines, and low-carbon energy technology" and that the country "is already the world's largest renewable-energy producer as measured by installed generating capacity . . . is also the world's top manufacturer of solar cells" and, by the end of 2009, will be "the leading exporter of wind turbines."
In searching for it, I found this on Wikipedia -- "Renewable Energy in China." It's actually a more comprehensive read than the Bloomberg.com article.
17 Nov, 2008
Presentations - IEC Convention
14 Nov, 2008
Energy Harvesting
It's a simple idea; Harvest energy from a structure's vibrations.
13 Aug, 2008
Profile Reprint - ECMAG
However, if you DO NOT receive the publication, you probably should go over here, to the research page on ECMAG. The first link on that page will bring you a PDF of the Profile of the Electrical Contractor story (with oodles of valuable data) that printed in a recent issue of E.C. magazine.
I didn't have anything to do with this Profile. But I worked on previous versions of this every-two-years statistical report on the industry -- in 1980, 82, 90, 92, 94, 96, and 98.
EleBlog take: This is MORE than worth your time -- the best free data on electrical contracting found anywhere.
09 Aug, 2008
Alternative To 'Drill Drill Drill'
I'm not the only one. Browsing the DOE website the other day, I found a 6/5/08 speech by an assistant Energy secretary. Here's a single, long paragraph of the speech, broken up (by me) -- but this is the whole paragraph, nothing is missing:
And Lee Raymond chairing this report at the Petroleum Council had different conclusions for the first time because these reports of being chronically very similar: you drill more, you get more energy, supply catches up with demand, and everything's okay.
This is the first time National Petroleum Council said something completely different.
That the risks have never been greater to conventional energy production
that we have an obligation to maximize every molecule of energy from every source including renewable and alternative sources,
that we need a carbon policy predictability to offer price signals in the market place for acceleration, and
that we had to focus on efficiency as a resource that could be quantified and prioritized and realized across the board.
EleBlog take: Lee Raymond is the closet thing we all can see in 2008 if we want to view a dinosaur. And yet event with that major moron as its chairman, the NPC came up with the conclusions described above. REMEMBER, the guy who made the speech above (click thru to read the rest of it -- you can see the video of the speech if you don't feel like reading).
"Drill-drill-drill" is a VERY short-term solution to the energy problem -- something like treating a gunshot wound to the heat by sticking Kleenex up a nostril to stem a resulting nose bleed.
03 Aug, 2008
Top 5 Energy Savers (For Biz)
- Use night setback thermometers
- Correct power factor problems
- Install modern, high efficiency heating and cooling equipment
- Replace metal halide fixtures with energy efficient fluorescent lighting
- Turn off lights and computers at night
21 Jul, 2008
PHEV Hubbub Begins
Recent news from the U.S. DoE:
From the 6/18 EERE Network News (a DOE publication) -- "DoE to Award $30M for PHEV Demonstrations."
EleBlog take: And so it begins.
Incidentally, the EERE Network News is worth getting delivered -- to your e-mail in-box, FREE, courtesy of the U.S. government (and my tax dollars, if not also yours). See the Network News Archives -- or get it . . . subscribe.
13 Jul, 2008
Wind Map

(More)
29 May, 2008
Energy Factolito
Data are for U.S. residential electricity consumption in 1999. Here are shares of that:
Cordless phones: 0.21%
Cordless/answering: 0.11%
Mobile chargers: 0.03%
And shares of the same thing for TV set-top boxes:
cable, digital: 0.07%
wireless: 0.16%
game console: 0.05%
What's the point? I guess one might note that there are a lot more wireless chargers and CATV set-top boxes NOW than in 1999. But let's leave that alone. If you add up what's presented here (the LBNL data), "together, set-tops and telephony constituted 1.2% of U.S. residential electricity consumption in 1999."
. . . and here's the kicker: "Standby power use accounted for about 60% ofthis energy use."
12 May, 2008
Construction Accounting Software
29 Apr, 2008
Powering Civilization To 2050
Here's a link -- and a snippet that, I hope, is indicative of what Staniford sees:
10 Mar, 2008
UL Notice on GFCIs
Read the rest here.
27 Feb, 2008
Energy Roundtable
Note that the roundtable runs more than 10,000 words. You can choose to listen to it instead (it's available in four modes -- see the top of the page).
Here's a key piece of the roundtable. Jim is Jim Puplava, host of the roundtable (and the site). Matt is Simmons, of course. CERA = Cambridge Energy Research Associates, an energy industry consulting firm:
JIM:
Something that does not get enough play in my opinion is depletion.
I mean we saw the CERA report that came out a couple of weeks ago that
said that world oil depletion was 4 ½% a year or about 4 million
barrels that we need to find just to stay in place. And yet we
know the large oil fields – Cantarell, North Sea, North Slope – the
depletion rates there are much higher.
Matt, you looked at the world’s oil fields and came up with some different conclusions than the optimistic CERA report. Were you guys looking at different data because...
MATT: I don’t have any idea. I’m very puzzled with that report. They lay out, without any names, some very specific numbers and in the number of fields they say they’re looking at and how much those fields collectively add up to. And what puzzles me is that they say they have 811 fields in their database – in their proprietary database – and that 400 of the 811 are all giant oil fields accounting for about almost 50% of world production, which means that they would have to average 90,000 barrels a day per field.
Well,
when I went through last – in the fall of 2001, one of the more
enjoyable treasure hunts I’ve done because I got more and more
intrigued by no one seems to have a list of the top 20 or 30 or 40 oil
fields. So I decided to put a cut-off of 100,000 barrels a day as
my definition of anything over that is a giant oil field. And I
searched far and wide and in fact at one point we spent a fair amount of
money buying 34 fields from the IHS database because even the CIA
didn’t have any field production out of Russia. They didn’t
even know the names anymore.
So at any rate, I finally got this,
added it all up, put in a pretty extensive white paper and then
circulated that to hundreds and hundreds of people that might know, and
saying that “I’m going to republish when I get some better data or
if you think x field is producing less or more, please let me
know.” That got unbelievably widely praised as the first study
that anyone had done maybe ever on oil fields – not by their reserves
but by their production.
And I came up with 110 that accounted for
90% of our current production, so how you could find 400 that were 49%.
Something had to be totally wrong with the study I did. I mean
vastly wrong.
With crude oil prices above $101/barrel at this moment, it might be a good time to listen to/read Simmons. Folks who have listened to him have guessed right on the direction of oil prices . . . even as we (apparently) verge upon entering a recession.
11 Feb, 2008
08 Buildings Outlook
EleBlog take: I'm pretty sure ALL forecasts are going to be OFF this year, as things are changing . . . rapidly. But this is no doubt still worth a read.
11 Feb, 2008
Home Technology Alliance
On NAHB's small site for the HTA, I found a 39-page PDF -- a report on research into how NAHB members see the Electronic Systems Contractor.
I've scanned the thing (not yet made it through) -- seems interesting.
You might also check out NAHB's HTA home page.
10 Jan, 2008
Secret Life Of Contractors
In the past few "slow" weeks, I've been mashing through the file cabinets here in my townhouse, going through files to dump stuff so I can make room for more paper that I won't look at for a few years. I found the one presentation from the '06 AHC that I kept -- titled "The Secret Life of Building Contractors - A Psychographic Study."
Apparently, H-W did a study of readers of two of its magazines -- Builder, the flagship, and Remodeling. There were 1,053 respondents all told. I can't upload this thing, and I can no longer find it online. Here are some of the results of note included in the PowerPoint slide show I downloaded and printed:
35% of the builders own 2 or more homes; 26% of the remodelers do.
16% of the builders "work in firms of over 200" -- compared to just 2% of the remodelers.
"Both builders and remodelers are three times more likely to pick up a business/trade magazine than a newsweekly or sports magazine."
"Nearly 60% of book purchaes by both groups are in the business section" (i.e., non-fiction).
46% of builders and 48% of remodelers volunteer with nonprofits. Most (83% B, 82% R) give to charity -- and the favorite charities are "health-related causes."
Music: 50% of the respondents to the 2 surveys combined favor rock-and-roll, 35% country music. "After that, tastes start to diverge. Builders prefer Jazz/Soft Rock. Remodelers prefer Blues/Alternative Music." What the heck is "alternative music?"
Education: 63% of builders have a bachelor's degree -- compared with 41% of remodelers.
17% of the builder respondents said they had a family (household) income of $300K/year or more. Only 4% of remodelers said that; 39% of the remodelers make less than $99K/year.
Politics: 31% of builders and 21% of remodelers said they had made political contributions in the past 12 months. 65% of the builders kicked in $500 or more; 57% of the remodelers contributed less than $500.
Footwear (I'm not kidding):
Remodelers -- "more likely to spring for work boots and sneakers."
Neither group "is keen on motorcycles" -- fewer than 15%.
Are they right-wing? That might be my perception of builders (based in part on the activities of the real estate/construction industry in general). Here's what the H-W PPT says:
02 Jan, 2008
Facts About Construction
Construction is a significant source of jobs. The industry provides jobs for 7.6 million
employees—more than 5% of the total nonfarm workforce. In contrast to the steep
drop in homebuilding, nonresidential construction employment grew at least 0.9%
from November 2006 to November 2007. This estimate is probably understated,
since many “residential” construction employees are now doing nonresidential
work, even though their employers are still counted as residential contractors.
Construction
jobs are good-paying jobs. In November 2007, seasonally adjusted hourly earnings in construction
averaged $21.27 per hour, 21% higher than the average for all private industry
nonsupervisory workers.
Construction makes a disproportionately large
contribution to GDP. For the past eight quarters,
investment in private nonresidential structures has grown faster than gross
domestic product (GDP). Construction spending totaled $1.16 trillion in October
2007; nonresidential was $647 billion (56%).
Construction is a substantial purchaser of
Materials costs are a major problem. From December 2003 to October 2007, the producer
price index for inputs to construction jumped 28%, twice the 13% rise in the
consumer price index.
The typical construction firm
size is very small. In 2005, there were 788,000
construction establishments with 6.8 million paid employees. Thus, average
employment was less than nine per establishment. (An
establishment is a permanent business location. Most construction firms have
only one establishment.) More than two million additional construction firms had
no paid employees—mainly self-employed individuals but also partnerships and
holding companies
Small business is big in
construction. In 2005, 91% of construction establishments had fewer than 20
employees. Only 1% had 100 or more.
Construction is a low-margin industry. Internal Revenue Service figures for 2004 show
that the 722,000 corporations in construction had net income (less deficit) of
$47 billion, or 3.7% of total receipts of $1.3 trillion. That was considerably
below the all-industry average margin of 4.9%.
Construction is a high-turnover industry in terms of entering and exiting firms. Census
data prepared for the Office of Advocacy of the U.S. Small Business
Administration shows that 99,000 of 630,000 construction firms with employees
in 2004 (16%) opened since 2003, while 77,000 firms closed
The 2007 Construction Industry Annual
Financial Survey, conducted by the Construction Financial Management Assn. (www.cfma.org), included responses from 756
companies. The net margin before income taxes in the latest fiscal year averaged 2.7%. The median return
on assets was 8.8%.
12 Sep, 2007
What It's Like In India
According ot the Times, advertisements once described Gurgaon "as the best address south of Delhi." But a local "properous housewife" thinks of it as a medieval city. One recent day, "the power went out for roughliy 11 hours. Her power inverter -- basically a series of rechargeable batteries -- a household necessity here - failed after four hours. For respite, some of her neighbors drove around in their air conditioned cars. Her own children lingered outside and finally, when they nodded off to sleep, they lay on the living room floor, the coolest spot in the house."
"In Gurgaon alone, the state power authority estimates that the gap between demand and supply hovers around 20%, and that is probabliy a conservative estimate."
While the government has promised "electric connections for all" (not necessarily power supply, but wired connex) by 2009, that seems impossible. And even if this is someday arranged, things need to progress. "In Gurgaon, for instance, transformers routinely blow out because of heavy loads. Voltage fluctuations damage electrical appliances of all sorts."
Result: A Black Market in electricity. One estimate says Indians in 2005 paid $480 million to bribe someone (?) to put in new connectiosn "or correct [electric] bills." The World Bank thinks that $4 billion in electric power is "stolen" each year.
There's more in the story -- about generator use by private businesses, etc. But the most appalling thing: "Gurgaon does not have a sewage treatment plant of its own." This is "the best address south of Delhi"???
According to Wikipedia, Gurgaon in 2001 had a population of almost 175,000.
(More)
12 Mar, 2007
Jan + Feb Posts
Click here for January.
Click here for February.
29 Jan, 2007
12/06 EleBlog Posts
05 Jan, 2007
Renewables: 2006
[I wrote about Khosla back in 10/05 -- see the blog entry here]
13 Dec, 2006
Oct-Nov Posts - One Doc
(More)
19 Oct, 2006
EleBlog Report #6
A report from the NECA Convention & Show, plus info on Housing -- and much more -- can be found in the EleBlog Report I just posted, dated 10/18/06. It's #6. Click here to see it.
18 Oct, 2006
46 September Entries
30 Sep, 2006
Special: Contractor Data
18 Sep, 2006
August Posts - One Document
There were 45 posts to the EleBlog in August. I've rounded them up and put them in one place. Here are three ways to access them:
1. Click here to download a 29-page PDF. (309kb)
2. Click here to view the 29-page MS Word doc. (327kb)
3. At right, click on the August 2006 link under "Archives" to see the same thing in HTML.
14 Sep, 2006
EleBlog Report #4
17 Aug, 2006
EleBlog Report 2
09 Aug, 2006
EleBlog Report NL - #1
I'm trying a new idea -- The EleBlog Report. It's designed to post three times a month, and it's patterned on the old "Web Prowler" that I wrote years ago for ecmag.com. Take a look at the first one [please] by clicking here.
05 Apr, 2006
March EleBlog Posts
What was here in March:
- 36 posts.
- 10,600 words.
- Collected in one MS Word document, it prints out at 30 pages.
You can download the whole shebang from this page.
01 Mar, 2006
February Posts - Downloadable
I hit upon the idea of putting all of one month’s posts into a single file, for quick downloading. I’ve done that with February’s 31 items – it’s a 35-page MS Word file you can download from here. What’s in there? The following, and more:
- Integrated Electrical Services – four posts on the company’s restructuring.
- HD-Hughes deal – a link to a downloadable about the transaction.
- Three graphics.
+
- Reports you’ll find nowhere else on
- Construction spending 2005 preliminary data from the government.
- Construction contracting 2005 data from McGraw-Hill.
+
- Links to interesting stuff from
- AIA
- Buildings
- CABA
- CE Pro’s blog
- Design News
- Electrical Contractor magazine
- National Association of Manufacturers
- National Real Estate Investor
- Network World
- TheStreet.com
&
- My articles on TEDMAG.com.
# # #
08 Nov, 2005
Presentation Uploaded
I was invited to speak to a Mid-Atlantic group of NAED members a few weeks ago. They specifically requested a presentation on the Workforce of the Future. I can't claim to be an expert on that, but I did a ton of research. You can see the slides (the PowerPoint presentation) I put together by going to the "Albums" link at right, and download the item from the "Presentations" tab.
Why they invited me: I have been, outspoken about the coming shortage of skilled electricians in the near future. As it turned out, there are some "commonalities" between what contractors face and what distributors must overcome. The presentation for NAED covers broader societal/demographic trends than most of what I've done for the contractors, however.
To go right to the Presentations download page: http://www.electricalcontractor.com/plog/index.php?op=ViewAlbum&albumId=1&blogId=1
[posted 3x - sorry about the triplification]
(More)10 Oct, 2005
Photovoltaics & The NEC
I attended the Solar 2005 show last week (more on that coming). While there, I ran into a thick spiral-bound publication -- Photovoltaic Power Systems and the 2005 National Electrical Code: Suggested Practices. It was printed in May 2005. It's from Sandia National Laboratories.
You, too, can obtain it -- free, in PDF -- here: http://www.nmsu.edu/~tdi/Photovoltaics/Codes-Stds/PVnecSugPract.html
(More)02 Sep, 2005
Office Construction Outlook
A PDF of the presentation I did 5/05 on "The Death Of New Office Building Construction" can be accessed by clicking here. I hope.
(More)

